332 – Attribution of Extreme Weather Events

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Guests: Friederike Otto   Host: Markus Voelter   Shownoter: Thomas Machowinski

An important consequence of the warming of the planet due to climate change is that the frequency and/or severity of extreme weather events will increase. But how can we tell whether a particular event can be attributed to the changing climate? Would it have happened in “normal” climate as well, and if so, how would the event have been different? This aspect of climate science is called attribution science, and the guest of this episode, Friederike Otto is a pioneer in the field.

Introduction

00:05:28

Environental Change Institute | Global Warming | Attribution Science | Extreme Weather | Heat Stress | Drought | Hurricane

Attribution

00:18:04

Climate Models | Greenhouse Gas | Probability | Aerosol | Heat Island

Simulation Approaches

00:44:13

weather@home | ECMWF

Development of Attribution Science

01:04:49

Bias